Monday, August 25, 2008

Money Masters Of Our Time


some thinking about reading the book:
  1. 70% core holding (growth at reasonable price): buy & hold for well-managed growth companies until they slow down, avoid market timing. growth stock can be characterized by higher peaks & troughs across business cycles.
  2. try not to touch cyclical stocks or sector funds, if really want, buy low & sell high within the business cycles, but avoid trying to catch the peaks & troughs
  3. always keep certain amount of cash for emergency use
  4. use funds for unfamiliar areas (emerging markets, small cap, etc)

北京奥運

北京奥運閉幕了。

真的未曾如此投入觀看奥運。除了因為這是自己國家大事,更是被一個個精彩的故事所吸引。

由開幕式到閉幕禮,十六天的盛事,也是一幕幕人生的縮本。

男飛人保特、新水怪菲比斯、羽毛球老將張寧、超級丹林丹、跳水公主郭晶晶、中國男女子體操團體等,一個個都是歷盡艱苦鍛鍊後獲取佳績、振人心的故事。

同時劉翔、程菲、埃蒙斯也提醒我們幸福並非必然,有付出、有實力,並不等於有收穫。

在競賽場上,高禮澤、中國女排雖未能取得上屆般的成績,但他們最後的表現也贏盡觀眾的掌聲與歡呼。

在人生中,我們或許不能保証自己是下一個馬琳、張怡寧,但也得學習高禮澤、中國男籃的精神,努力做好本份,方能今生無悔。

在此向一衆奥運英雄致警。

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Morningstar Guide to Mutual Funds- Five-Star Strategies for Success




I. how to pick mutual funds:

1) know the fund portfolio
  • equity: value/blend/growth vs large-cap/mid-cap/small-cap
  • bond: long/intermediate/short duration vs high/medium/low credit quality

2) performance
  • performance against index or peer group
  • performance over long period (5 to 10 years)
  • performance consistency year over year
  • make sure the fund manager responsible for the performance still there to manager the fund


3)risk
  • performance volatility
  • concentration of stock/bond holdings

4)understand the fund manager
  • rule of thumb: >10 years of experience
  • strong support team for research & trading
  • fund house with wide range of successful funds , quality board, maintain fund cost & no trendy fund launches.

5)cost
  • lower turnover, lower trading costs
  • bond less than 0.75% ; equity less than 1%
  • check expense ratio


II. Core & non-Core Stock & Bond Funds
Core Stock funds
  • value funds (relative value (compare with index), absolute value* (look for best deal), income oriented value(dividend focus))
  • growth funds (earnings-driven, revenue-driven)
  • blend funds (growth at reasonable price)
  • flexible funds
  • indexing (ETF or index funds)

non-Core Stock funds
  • foreign funds (consistently hedge foreign exchange risk or no hedging at all, fair value pricing to minimize the impact of short term traders)
  • small-cap funds (diversify)
  • no sector funds except real-estate & commodities (use dollar-cost averaging strategy for sector funds)

Core Bond funds
  • focus on intermediate-term funds investing in government & corporate bonds
  • look for low-expense funds
  • focus on total return (income + capital gain)

non-Core Bond funds
  • stay away from junkiest bonds
  • ultra-short term bond funds as alternative for money-market funds
  • inflation-indexed bond funds can be useful
  • keep small portion of world bonds funds & emerging market bonds funds only, due to their volatility


III. Portfolio Building
  • asset allocation plan to meet financial goals (input: amount of money, time, rate of return, savings rate; output: stock/bond mix)
  • avoid market-timing
  • core funds accounts for 70-80% of portfolio
  • caution with stock funds to meet short-term goals (within 5 years)
  • consolidate the funds into single fund house or distributor.
  • re balance regularly for asset class, country & style exposure.

IV. When to sell
  • portfolio rebalancing
  • changes of fund fundamentals (e.g. fund style)
  • mis-understand the fund fundamentals
  • changed investment goals
  • too volatile funds